Fantasy Baseball Picks: Best DraftKings MLB DFS Goals, Values ​​for Sept. 25

There are two weeks left in Major League Baseball’s regular season, and DraftKings has another big contest series this Sunday afternoon, and the slate includes all 10 games in the early afternoon, starting at 1:05 p.m. ET. Unless otherwise stated, all stats referenced in this article come into play on Saturday.

As always, be sure to follow all the latest news and watch the departure queues by installing the DK Live App and next DK Live on Twitter (@dklive). I am also on Twitter (@ZT_Sports), where you can follow all my picks at the end of the season.

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LAUNCHER

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Luis Castillo, Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals ($9,800) – Castillo agreed to a massive extension with the Mariners on Saturday and will take the mound on Sunday in a good position against the Royals. Kansas City ranks in the bottom 10 of Majors in races, wOBA, ISO and wRC+ this month, so Castillo should be able to do some damage control.

Since joining Seattle, Castillo has gone 3-2 with a 2.83 ERA, 2.89 FIP and 10.67 K/9. He fought against Athletics in his last outing, but he has over 19 DKFPs in four consecutive starts before that, averaging 25.22 DKFPs in those four outings. Castillo brings a high ceiling if he racks up any strikeouts and the Mariners need him to step up as they continue to chase a playoff spot.

Other options – Cristian Javier ($9,500), Nick Lodolo ($9,000)

Assess

Luis Ortiz, Pittsburgh Pirates versus. Chicago Cubs ($7,300) – Ortiz makes the case for a role in next year’s starting rotation for the Pirates with a strong end to the season. The 23-year-old was signed as a cheap international free agent four years ago and has become a legitimate prospect with a great slider and good speed. He spent most of the year in Double-A, going 5-9 with a 4.54 ERA, 3.76 FIP and 126 strikeouts in 114 13 sleeves.

Both of his MLB starts have been impressive. He debuted only allowing one out of 5 hits 23 white sleeves against the Reds to earn 20.4 DKFP, and he was even more impressive while holding the Yankees just one earned run over five innings to earn 16.3 DKFP. He has totaled 10 strikeouts in those 10 23 innings, and the potential is definitely there for him to hit a nice high in a more favorable home game against the Cubs, who have the fifth-highest K% of any team in September while hitting just .232 as a team.

Other options – Aaron Civale ($7,500), Anibál Sánchez ($6,200)


INTERIOR

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Jose Altuve, Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles ($5,700) – Altuve has only missed one game after being hit by a pitch earlier this week, and he’s having a great final month of the season. In his last 21 games heading into Saturday, Altuve went 30-for-81 (.370) with four home runs, six stolen bases and a .445 wOBA. During that span, he averaged 11.4 DKFP per game and was on his way to another strong performance on Saturday with his 26th home run of the season.

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Amed Rosario, Cleveland Guardians at Texas Rangers ($4,600) – Rosario also rolled in September, going 27 for 92 (.293) with three doubles, three home runs, five stolen bases and a .330 wOBA. He has .179 ISO, .341 wOBA and 123 wRC+ against left-handed pitchers this season, so a left-handed game Cole Ragans ($5,000) should plan well for him to continue producing from No. 2 in Cleveland’s batting order.

Other options – Jose Abreu ($5,100), Adley Rutschman ($4,900)

Assess

ElvisAndrus, Chicago White Sox versus. Detroit Tigers ($4,100) – The White Sox have a great game (highlighted below in the stacks), and Andrus remains approachable despite his recent consistent contributions from Chicago’s top end. Andrus hit .290 on the year against left-handers like Tyler Alexander ($5,200) and six of his 14 home runs helped him to a .361 wOBA against lefties. Since joining the White Sox 32 games ago, Andrus has hit .309 with six home runs and eight stolen bases. He’s hit safely in 13 of his last 15 games with eight multi-hit performances and a .388 wOBA, and he’s been given the go-ahead on base runs with seven interceptions in his most recent 13 contests. With his mix of power and speed and a great spot in the lineup, Andrus is a pretty good game under $4,000 on Sunday.

Assess

Mike Brosseau, Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds ($2,000) – Brosseau is expected to start the Brewers in their Sunday afternoon game against the southpaw Nick Lodolo ($9,000). He’s been used sparingly but has gone 3-for-9 (.333) since returning from IL two weeks ago, highlighted by a grand slam on Wednesday. When he had a chance, Brosseau hits .268 with a .350 wOBA and 126 wRC+. He has decent power potential and could be great value to consider at his minimum wage, especially if he leaves for Cincinnati on Sunday.

Other options – Vinnie Pasquantino ($2,900), Josh Jung ($2,300)


OUTSIDE FIELD

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Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota twins ($6,100) – After hitting seven straight games with a home run, Trout has calmed down a bit, hitting only one home run in his last nine games. This month, however, he still has a .433 wOBA to go with his .386 ISO. He will be well positioned to get back on track on Sunday as he has a great history of success against the Twins starter and his former teammate. Dylan Bundy ($5,900). In their last meetings, Trout is 5 for 11 with a pair of homers.

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Bryan Reynolds, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs ($5,300) – Reynolds had a solid season despite being the Pirates’ only reliable stick for much of the year. He’s warmed up lately with multiple hits in seven of his last 12 games, including two doubles and four homers, to propel him to a .465 wOBA in that span. Nineteen of his 25 home runs have come against right-handers, against whom he has a .354 wOBA this season, so his matchup against Adrian Sampson ($6,600) should set him up for success.

Other options – Eloy Jiménez ($5,500), Michael Harris II ($5,100)

Assess

AJ Pollock, Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers ($3,500) – Pollock has been a solid veteran presence in the White Sox roster this year, and he’s been particularly effective against southpaws. Eleven of his 14 home runs have come against lefties, against whom he has a .405 wOBA and .357 ISO. He has an impressive 169 wRC+ against left-handers, especially compared to his 67 wRC+ against right-handers. He is well placed against Alexander in his game and has hit three homers in his last five games.

Assess

Bouba Thompson, Texas Rangers versus. Cleveland Guardians ($2,300) – Thompson brings a high ceiling as a punt game since he has elite speed. He stole 14 bases in his last 33 games while hitting a solid .302 with three doubles, a home run and a .315 wOBA. He doesn’t bring much power at this point, but he’s hit safely in five of his last six starts and still brings stolen base potential. As the No. 9 hitter, he serves as the second leading option for the Rangers roster, which should be in a solid production position, as described in the stacks below.

Other options – Oscar González ($4,000), Robbie Grossman ($2,300)


STACKING TEAMS

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers – The White Sox have the second-best wOBA team in the Majors against lefties this season, hitting .279 as a team with a .342 wOBA and 124 team wRC+. They will be well placed against lefties Tyler Alexander, who went 4-10 in 24 games this season with a 4.91 ERA, 4.91 FIP and 1.49 HR/9. He’s coming off a strong outing in Baltimore, but before that he had allowed nine home runs and 26 runs in 28 innings in his previous six starts. He allowed 11 hits and four runs in 7 13 innings against the White Sox, in particular.

As stated above, Andrus and Pollock are good mid-range players who usually occupy critical spots in the roster. Eloy Jiménez ($5,300), Jose Abreu ($5,100), Andrew Vaughn ($4,400) and even Yoan Moncada ($4,200) all bring good upside power and generally hit better against southpaws, which is why the team thrives against southpaws.

Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians – Guardians have been hot, but they’re trying to get Aaron Civale ($7,500) right for a run in the playoffs. Civale has struggled this year at 2-6 with a 5.29 ERA and 3.86 FIP. He gave up 10 home runs and 51 runs in 17 games and was especially beaten by right-handers, who hit .274 with seven home runs and a .342 wOBA. He also struggled to pull away from Cleveland, posting a 6.13 road ERA.

The Rangers offer plenty of bargains behind their two power bats of Corey Seager ($4,900) and Marcus Semien ($4,800). Nathaniel Lowe ($4,100) and Jonah Heim ($3,900) are solid mid-range games with upside power, and young Josh Jung ($2,300) and Bubba Thompson (discussed above) have high caps as bargains.

Define your DraftKings fantastic baseball lineups here: MLB Relay Throw $20,000 [$5K to 1st]


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is z.thompson) and may occasionally play on my personal account in the games I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal views on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the views of DraftKings and are not a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment to create queues. I can also deploy different players and strategies than those I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.


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